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La météorologie au service de la santé
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ISBN10: 6206724832
ISBN13: 9786206724834
Publisher: Editions Universitaires Europeennes
Published: Sep 25 2024
Pages: 56
Weight: 0.21
Height: 0.13 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: French
ISBN13: 9786206724834
Publisher: Editions Universitaires Europeennes
Published: Sep 25 2024
Pages: 56
Weight: 0.21
Height: 0.13 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: French
Le paludisme constitue un problème de santé majeur au Sénégal. Étant conscient de la saisonnalité de la maladie, la mise en place d'outils d'aide à la décision comme l'utilisation de modèles pour prévoir l'occurrence d'épidémies de paludisme serait d'une importance capitale dans la lutte contre la maladie. Ainsi, la présente étude contribue à une meilleure compréhension des relations entre le climat et le paludisme afin d'améliorer la surveillance et la gestion de cette maladie. L'étude a été menée dans la région de Ziguinchor sur des données couvrant une période de huit (08) ans soit de 2015 à 2022. Deux types de données mensuelles notamment les données météorologiques et les données sanitaires (nombre de cas confirmés de paludisme) ont été utilisés. La méthodologie adoptée a consisté à des analyses graphiques, des régressions linéaires simples et une régression linéaire multiple. Le choix des paramètres les plus pertinents a été fait par la méthode de backward elimination . Enfin, une validation a été faite sur la base de quatre (04) tests statistiques (le test de Shapiro-Wilk, le test du facteur d'inflation de la variance, le test de Durbin-Watson et le test de Goldef-Quandt) suivi d'une vérification de sa robustesse grâce au diagramme de Taylor.
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