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Efeitos do contexto em decisões arriscadas
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ISBN10: 6202418168
ISBN13: 9786202418164
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Published: Aug 17 2025
Pages: 164
Weight: 0.50
Height: 0.38 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Portuguese
ISBN13: 9786202418164
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Published: Aug 17 2025
Pages: 164
Weight: 0.50
Height: 0.38 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Portuguese
O trabalho aborda o tema das decisões arriscadas. São relacionados diferentes fatores e calculada a sua influência no comportamento decisório com base em regressões logÃsticas binárias. Concretamente, são analisados, em primeiro lugar, três áreas diferentes - a área económica, a área jurÃdica e a área da saúde; em segundo lugar, a orientação objetiva do problema por meio de cenários de oportunidade ou ameaça e, em terceiro lugar, três pagamentos de valores diferentes e probabilidades de ocorrência de consequências - neste trabalho, chamados resumidamente de combinações numéricas - com base em cenários de enquadramento, seguindo o modelo formal do Asian Disease Problem. Para isso, são criadas seis versões de questionários, cada uma com seis situações de decisão monetária, que representam os fatores individuais em diferentes combinações. Além disso, é testada a capacidade de previsão de onze heurÃsticas conhecidas. Os resultados mostram uma influência significativa da área no comportamento de decisão. Além disso, são discutidas potenciais interações com possÃveis abordagens para estudos adicionais.
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