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Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method

Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method

Paperback

Environmental StudiesGeneral MathematicsProbability & Statistics

ISBN10: 3030222462
ISBN13: 9783030222468
Publisher: Springer
Published: Oct 7 2019
Pages: 123
Weight: 0.44
Height: 0.29 Width: 6.14 Depth: 9.21
Language: English

In this text, modern applied mathematics and physical insight are used to construct the simplest and first nonlinear dynamical model for the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), i.e. the stochastic skeleton model. This model captures the fundamental features of the MJO and offers a theoretical prediction of its structure, leading to new detailed methods to identify it in observational data. The text contributes to understanding and predicting intraseasonal variability, which remains a challenging task in contemporary climate, atmospheric, and oceanic science. In the tropics, the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is the dominant component of intraseasonal variability.

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