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La variabilité de la demande ralentit-elle la croissance et augmente-t-elle l'inflation ?
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ISBN10: 6209290175
ISBN13: 9786209290176
Publisher: Editions Notre Savoir
Published: Nov 20 2025
Pages: 56
Weight: 0.19
Height: 0.13 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: French
ISBN13: 9786209290176
Publisher: Editions Notre Savoir
Published: Nov 20 2025
Pages: 56
Weight: 0.19
Height: 0.13 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: French
Cet article examine l'asymétrie dans la répartition des chocs de demande globale entre la croissance réelle de la production et l'inflation des prix au cours du cycle économique dans un échantillon de quinze pays des Caraïbes. Dans la plupart des pays, les données indiquent l'existence de contraintes structurelles, ce qui implique que les chocs de demande positifs se répercutent principalement sur les prix, tandis que les chocs de demande négatifs affectent principalement la production. La forte variabilité de la demande globale dans les pays des Caraïbes, fréquemment exposés à des chocs exacerbés par une politique procyclique, tend à créer un biais à la hausse sur l'inflation et un biais à la baisse sur la croissance réelle de la production, en moyenne, au fil du temps. L'analyse met en évidence les avantages de l'élimination des rigidités structurelles responsables des effets asymétriques sur la production réelle et l'inflation, et souligne les dangers des politiques macroéconomiques procycliques qui exacerbent les effets négatifs de la variabilité de la demande.
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