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Verringert die Nachfrageschwankung das Wachstum und erhöht sie die Inflation?
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ISBN10: 6209285058
ISBN13: 9786209285059
Publisher: Verlag Unser Wissen
Published: Nov 20 2025
Pages: 60
Weight: 0.21
Height: 0.14 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: German
ISBN13: 9786209285059
Publisher: Verlag Unser Wissen
Published: Nov 20 2025
Pages: 60
Weight: 0.21
Height: 0.14 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: German
Die Studie untersucht die Asymmetrie bei der Verteilung von Schocks der Gesamtnachfrage zwischen realem Produktionswachstum und Preisinflation über den Konjunkturzyklus hinweg in einer Stichprobe von fünfzehn karibischen Ländern. In den meisten Ländern deuten die Ergebnisse auf strukturelle Beschränkungen hin, was bedeutet, dass positive Nachfrageschocks sich vorwiegend auf die Preise auswirken, während negative Nachfrageschocks hauptsächlich die Produktion beeinflussen. Die hohe Variabilität der Gesamtnachfrage in den karibischen Ländern, die häufig Schocks ausgesetzt sind, die durch eine prozyklische Politik noch verstärkt werden, führt im Durchschnitt im Laufe der Zeit tendenziell zu einer Aufwärtsverzerrung der Inflation und einer Abwärtsverzerrung des realen Produktionswachstums. Die Analyse hebt die Vorteile der Beseitigung struktureller Rigiditäten hervor, die für asymmetrische reale und inflationäre Effekte verantwortlich sind, und weist auf die Gefahren einer prozyklischen makroökonomischen Politik hin, die die negativen Auswirkungen der Nachfrageschwankungen noch verstärkt.
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