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A variabilidade da procura reduz o crescimento e aumenta a inflação?
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ISBN10: 6209297854
ISBN13: 9786209297854
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Published: Nov 20 2025
Pages: 56
Weight: 0.19
Height: 0.13 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Portuguese
ISBN13: 9786209297854
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Published: Nov 20 2025
Pages: 56
Weight: 0.19
Height: 0.13 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Portuguese
O artigo investiga a assimetria na alocação dos choques da procura agregada entre o crescimento real da produção e a inflação dos preços ao longo do ciclo económico numa amostra de quinze paÃses das CaraÃbas. Na maioria dos paÃses, as evidências indicam a existência de restrições estruturais, o que implica que os choques positivos da procura se refletem predominantemente nos preços, enquanto os choques negativos da procura afetam principalmente a produção. A elevada variabilidade da procura agregada nos paÃses das CaraÃbas, frequentemente expostos a choques que são exacerbados por uma postura polÃtica pró-cÃclica, tende a criar um viés ascendente na inflação e um viés descendente no crescimento real da produção, em média, ao longo do tempo. A análise destaca os benefÃcios da eliminação das rigidezes estruturais responsáveis pelos efeitos assimétricos reais e inflacionários e aponta para os perigos das polÃticas macroeconómicas pró-cÃclicas que exacerbam os efeitos adversos da variabilidade da procura.
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