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Modellierung und Vorhersage der Volatilität von Rohöl
Paperback
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ISBN10: 6139714788
ISBN13: 9786139714780
Publisher: Verlag Unser Wissen
Published: Sep 18 2025
Pages: 72
Weight: 0.24
Height: 0.17 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: German
ISBN13: 9786139714780
Publisher: Verlag Unser Wissen
Published: Sep 18 2025
Pages: 72
Weight: 0.24
Height: 0.17 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: German
Rohöl ist eine der wichtigsten Antriebskräfte der Weltwirtschaft. Schwankungen der Ölpreise haben erhebliche Auswirkungen auf den wirtschaftlichen Aufschwung und das Wohlergehen in der ganzen Welt. Da sich die Auswirkungen der Ölpreisschwankungen von der Unternehmensebene auf die Regierungen ausweiten, sind sowohl politische Entscheidungsträger als auch Investoren an der Modellierung und Vorhersage der Rohölpreise interessiert. Da es an Forschungsarbeiten über die Modellierung (insbesondere asymmetrische Modellierung) und Vorhersage der Rohölvolatilität mangelt, ist es das Ziel dieser Arbeit, einen Beitrag zu dieser spärlichen Energieliteratur zu leisten. In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird die Leistung verschiedener Modelle vom Typ GARCH anhand von drei Rohöl-Benchmarks bewertet. Die Analyse dürfte für Finanzentscheidungen und das Portfoliorisikomanagement von grundlegender Bedeutung sein, insbesondere im Hinblick auf die Bewertung von ölbezogenen Produkten und Energiederivaten.
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