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Modelowanie i prognozowanie zmienności ropy naftowej
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ISBN10: 6139748771
ISBN13: 9786139748778
Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
Published: Sep 18 2025
Pages: 68
Weight: 0.23
Height: 0.16 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Polish
ISBN13: 9786139748778
Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
Published: Sep 18 2025
Pages: 68
Weight: 0.23
Height: 0.16 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Polish
Ropa naftowa jest jedną z ważnych sil napędzających globalną gospodarkę. Wahania cen ropy naftowej mają znaczący wplyw na wzrost gospodarczy i dobrobyt na calym świecie. Ponieważ wplyw zmienności cen ropy naftowej rozszerza się z poziomu firm na rządy, zarówno decydenci polityczni, jak i inwestorzy są zainteresowani modelowaniem i przewidywaniem cen ropy naftowej. Ponieważ brakuje badań nad modelowaniem (zwlaszcza modelowaniem asymetrycznym) i prognozowaniem zmienności cen ropy naftowej, celem niniejszego artykulu jest wniesienie wkladu w tę rzadką literaturę energetyczną. Niniejsza praca ocenia wydajnośc różnych modeli typu GARCH z zastosowaniem w trzech benchmarkach ropy naftowej. Analiza powinna byc istotna dla decyzji finansowych i zarządzania ryzykiem portfela, zwlaszcza w odniesieniu do kwestii wyceny produktów związanych z ropą naftową i instrumentów pochodnych na energię.
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