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Modellazione e previsione della volatilità del greggio
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ISBN10: 6139748755
ISBN13: 9786139748754
Publisher: Edizioni Sapienza
Published: Sep 18 2025
Pages: 68
Weight: 0.23
Height: 0.16 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Italian
ISBN13: 9786139748754
Publisher: Edizioni Sapienza
Published: Sep 18 2025
Pages: 68
Weight: 0.23
Height: 0.16 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Italian
Il petrolio greggio è una delle principali forze trainanti dell'economia globale. Le fluttuazioni dei prezzi del petrolio hanno effetti significativi sulla crescita economica e sul benessere in tutto il mondo. Poiché gli effetti della volatilità del petrolio si estendono dal livello delle imprese a quello dei governi, sia i responsabili politici che gli investitori sono interessati a modellare e prevedere i prezzi del greggio. Poiché mancano ricerche sulla modellazione (in particolare sulla modellazione asimmetrica) e sulla previsione della volatilità del greggio, l'obiettivo di questo lavoro è di contribuire a questa scarsa letteratura sull'energia. Il presente lavoro valuta le prestazioni di vari modelli di tipo GARCH con l'applicazione a tre benchmark di petrolio greggio. L'analisi dovrebbe essere essenziale per le decisioni finanziarie e la gestione del rischio di portafoglio, soprattutto per quanto riguarda le questioni di valutazione dei prodotti legati al petrolio e degli strumenti derivati sull'energia.
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