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Popolazione cinese: Sviluppo, tendenze e approfondimenti sui dati
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ISBN10: 6209273831
ISBN13: 9786209273834
Publisher: Edizioni Sapienza
Published: Nov 18 2025
Pages: 252
Weight: 0.75
Height: 0.57 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Italian
ISBN13: 9786209273834
Publisher: Edizioni Sapienza
Published: Nov 18 2025
Pages: 252
Weight: 0.75
Height: 0.57 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Italian
Utilizzando l'Annuario statistico nazionale cinese del 2024 (14 tabelle demografiche principali, dati nazionali 1949-2023, dati provinciali 2014-2023) e fonti supplementari come l'Annuario statistico cinese della scienza e della tecnologia del 2023, vengono applicati metodi come le statistiche descrittive, l'estrazione di regole di associazione basate su Apriori, il clustering K-means, il metodo delle componenti della coorte e il modello ARIMA.Le ricerche principali riguardano: la costruzione di un database standardizzato della popolazione attraverso la pre-elaborazione dei dati; l'analisi delle caratteristiche multidimensionali della popolazione (contrazione delle dimensioni dal 2022, invecchiamento crescente, urbanizzazione in aumento, mobilità regionale disomogenea, miglioramento della qualità ); la previsione delle tendenze 2030-2050 in base a 4 scenari (base, stimolo della fertilità , ecc.); l'esplorazione delle interazioni popolazione-socioeconomia (impatto dell'invecchiamento sull'assicurazione delle dotazioni, vincolo della contrazione della manodopera sul settore manifatturiero); la proposta di politiche specifiche per ogni regione (ad es, Programma di incentivo al ritorno della popolazione per la Cina nord-orientale).Lo studio ha un valore teorico per l'avanzamento delle teorie di economia demografica e un significato pratico per sostenere la modernizzazione di alta qualità della Cina guidata dalla popolazione.
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