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Populacja Chin: Rozwój, trendy i wgląd w dane
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ISBN10: 6209276393
ISBN13: 9786209276392
Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
Published: Nov 18 2025
Pages: 256
Weight: 0.76
Height: 0.58 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Polish
ISBN13: 9786209276392
Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
Published: Nov 18 2025
Pages: 256
Weight: 0.76
Height: 0.58 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Polish
Korzystając z Chińskiego Narodowego Rocznika Statystycznego z 2024 r. (14 podstawowych tabel populacji, dane krajowe z lat 1949-2023, dane prowincjonalne z lat 2014-2023) i źródel uzupelniających, takich jak Chiński Rocznik Statystyczny Nauki i Technologii z 2023 r., zastosowano metody, w tym statystyki opisowe, eksplorację regul asocjacyjnych opartą na Apriori, klastrowanie K-średnich, metodę komponentów kohortowych i model ARIMA.Kluczowe badania obejmują skonstruowanie znormalizowanej bazy danych populacji poprzez wstępne przetwarzanie danych; analizę wielowymiarowych cech populacji (spadek wielkości od 2022 r., poglębiające się starzenie, rosnąca urbanizacja, nierównomierna mobilnośc regionalna, lepsza jakośc); przewidywanie trendów na lata 2030-2050 w ramach 4 scenariuszy (linia bazowa, stymulacja plodności itp.); badanie interakcji populacyjno-spoleczno-ekonomicznych (wplyw starzenia się na ubezpieczenie majątkowe, ograniczenie produkcji przez kurczenie się sily roboczej); oraz proponowanie polityk specyficznych dla regionu (np, Population Return Incentive Program dla pólnocno-wschodnich Chin).Badanie ma wartośc teoretyczną w rozwijaniu teorii ekonomii populacji i praktyczne znaczenie we wspieraniu wysokiej jakości modernizacji Chin napędzanej populacją.
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