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População da China: Desenvolvimento, tendências e dados
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ISBN10: 6209258476
ISBN13: 9786209258473
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Published: Nov 17 2025
Pages: 248
Weight: 0.74
Height: 0.56 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Portuguese
ISBN13: 9786209258473
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Published: Nov 17 2025
Pages: 248
Weight: 0.74
Height: 0.56 Width: 6.00 Depth: 9.00
Language: Portuguese
Usando o Anuário EstatÃstico Nacional da China de 2024 (14 tabelas populacionais principais, dados nacionais de 1949-2023, dados provinciais de 2014-2023) e fontes suplementares como o Anuário EstatÃstico de Ciência e Tecnologia da China de 2023, aplica métodos que incluem estatÃsticas descritivas, mineração de regras de associação baseada em Apriori, agrupamento K-means, método de componente de coorte e modelo ARIMA.A investigação principal abrange: a construção de uma base de dados populacional padronizada através do pré-processamento de dados; a análise das caraterÃsticas multidimensionais da população (contração do tamanho desde 2022, envelhecimento profundo, urbanização crescente, mobilidade regional desigual, melhoria da qualidade); a previsão das tendências para 2030-2050 em 4 cenários (base de referência, estimulação da fertilidade, etc.); a exploração das interações população-socioeconómicas (impacto do envelhecimento no seguro de saúde, constrangimento da redução da mão de obra na indústria transformadora); e a proposta de polÃticas especÃficas para cada região (por exemplo, Programa de Incentivo ao Regresso da População para o Nordeste da China).O estudo tem valor teórico para o avanço das teorias da economia da população e significado prático para apoiar a modernização de alta qualidade da China impulsionada pela população.
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